Market Trends - July 2019

San Francisco Q2 2019 

Market Report

High stock markets, low interest rates, surging luxury home sales, limited inventory, a spring full of unicorn IPOs, and San Francisco - once again -hits new highs in median home sales prices.

July 2019 Update

After 2 quarters of no or negative year-over-year home price appreciation, a confluence of positive economic factors sent San Francisco median home sales prices to new peaks in Q2. On a quarterly basis, the median house sales price hit $1,700,000 - $80,000 above the previous peak in Q2 2018 - powered by a monthly high of $1,770,000 achieved in June. For condos, the new quarterly median price peak was $1,250,00 - slightly above last year's $1,235,000 - fueled by a new monthly high of $1,300,000 in June.

The market typically slows down significantly in San Francisco for the summer holidays through August before picking up again in September for a busy, though relatively short autumn selling season running through mid-November.

Median Home Sales Price Trends

unnamed.jpg
unnamed-2.jpg
unnamed-3.jpg


Sales & Prices by Property Type & Bedroom Count

unnamed-4.jpg

Average Dollar per Square Foot Analyses

As with median sales prices, average dollar per square foot values reached new highs in Q2, bouncing back dramatically from the recent plunge. Overall, condos see higher dollar per square foot values than houses in San Francisco.

unnamed-5.jpg
unnamed-6.jpg

San Francisco Luxury Home Sales Hit New Peaks in Q2 2019

The first chart below breaks out luxury homes as defined by houses selling for $3 million and above, and condos, co-ops and TICs selling for $2 million or more.

The second chart looks at all home sales of $5 million plus.

unnamed-7.jpg
unnamed-8.jpg

Selected Supply & Demand Statistics

unnamed-9.jpg

Average days on market broken out by property type and price segment: Changing a pattern seen in recent years, Q2 2019 often saw the strongest buyer demand in higher price segments. Demand for houses remains higher than that for condos, as houses have become the scarcer resource in the city.

unnamed-10.jpg


Sales price to original list price percentages by property type and price segment - these statistics generally mirror those seen above. Some of these percentages are stupendously high, reflecting torrid bidding competitions between buyers for appealing new listings.

unnamed-11.jpg

Percentage of Active Listings with 1 or More Price Reductions

unnamed-12.jpg

Mortgage Interest Rate Trends since 1981

A huge drop since late 2018 brings mortgage rates much closer to historic lows.

unnamed-13.jpg